Primary elections will be held in five states today: Washington, Arizona, Missouri, Michigan, and Kansas.
Not all primaries are created equal. There are closed primaries, semi-closed primaries, and top-two primaries. Washington state, for example, has a top-two primary system. That means the top two candidates move forward to the General Election regardless of political party and voters don’t need to be registered with a party to participate. In other states, today’s primary will be used to determine what candidates each party will send forth to the November election. Closed primaries mean voters must be registered with a party to participate. Semi-closed primaries mean that previously unaffiliated voters can participate but must choose which party's primary contest to cast a ballot in.
Before we discuss what to watch for tonight as votes are counted, a reminder that [un]Divided will begin LIVE coverage and analysis at 8:30pm PT (about 15 minutes after the first ballots are counted in Washington state). You can watch in two ways:
On Locals: https://brandikruse.locals.com/post/2512355/live-election-night-coverage
Or on YouTube (video embedded in post). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L83BrV1OI-0&feature=youtu.be
If you want to join a live chat with fellow viewers and send Brandi questions in real time, YouTube is the best option.
Now, to the races on our radar.
The Trump effect:
Three House Republicans who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump over the January 6th Capitol attack are on the ballot today – two in Washington state, one in Michigan. All three face pro-Trump challengers.
In Washington, Congressman Dan Newhouse (4th District) is being challenged by former gubernatorial candidate Loren Culp, who has promised to "send Newhouse to the outhouse" (see what he did there?). Culp has been endorsed by Trump but lags behind in fundraising.
In the state's 3rd Congressional District, Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler faces Joe Kent, who Trump stumped for just last week during a telephone town hall. Also keep an eye on the leading Democrat in the race, Marie Perez. While the district is in GOP hands, it has purple tendencies (after all, it's not too far from Portland).
In Michigan, Rep. Peter Meijer not only faces a pro-Trump challenger to keep his seat in that state's 3rd District, but his opponent John Gibbs is actually being propped up financially by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). You read that right. Democrats, who praised Republicans like Meijer for taking a stand against Trump, are dumping money into the campaigns of MAGA challengers across the country, hoping they'll be easier to beat in November. In an op-ed this week for the Common Sense Substack, Rep. Meijer called the tactic "nauseating."
There are also several other races tonight that will test Trump's hold of the GOP. In Arizona, Kari Lake, former-TV-anchor-turned-Trump-backed-candidate for governor, faces Mike Pence-backed candidate Karrin Taylor Robson. Ooooo, drama drama!
Red wave?:
While the GOP is hoping for a red wave this year, powered by an unpopular president and struggling economy, Washington state will be the litmus test. How will political newcomer Tiffany Smiley (R) perform against five-term Democratic Senator Patty Murray? It is virtually impossible to win a statewide election as a Republican in Washington state, but Murray has shown early signs of concern – spending big on TV ads and trying to leverage Smiley's pro-life position against her in the suburbs.
Swing seat showdown:
A couple weeks ago, we aired a special report on the race for Washington's 8th Congressional District. Why? Because I think it is the most consequential swing district in the nation. Long held by Republicans, it flipped in 2018 and has since been held by Democratic Congresswoman Kim Schrier. Will that change this year? The GOP sure thinks so, but first the Party needs to know who its General Election candidate will be. There are two strong contenders: Jesse Jensen (who ran for the seat in 2020 and lost by less than four percentage points) and Reagan Dunn (a King County councilman whose mom held the seat from 1993 to 2005). Jensen and Dunn have escalated attacks against each other in recent weeks, leading me to wonder whether they're doing damage to the winner's chances of beating Schrier.
Abortion on the ballot:
Kansas will face the first real test of abortion rights in our post-Roe world. Voters there will either approve or reject a Constitutional amendment that, if passed, would grant the state legislature power to restrict or expand access to abortions. If the amendment is rejected, it will leave in place current legal precedent (Hodes & Nauser v. Schmidt) that gives women the right to abortion through the Kansas Bill of Rights.
Don't forget to join us for LIVE coverage of all these races and more, starting at 8:30pm PT. And remember: In Washington, ballots can be dropped in an official drop box until 8pm or postmarked by today's date. VOTE VOTE VOTE!
Governor Bob Ferguson is only a few months into the job, and his staff is already turning on him. State progressives resort to lazy “orange man bad” strategy to win August primary races. City council member arrested for nude protest is now running for mayor. On Florida Report: Governor DeSantis cements Florida’s place as a public-safety state.
Prefer to listen? https://audioboom.com/posts/8757055-bad-day-for-bob-7-31-25
Washington state’s gas prices are soaring while other states remain low – and the Climate Commitment Grift is to blame. A follow up on the elusive “Paco.” Two leading experts on homelessness react to President Trump’s order dismantling housing first. Portland lowers academic standards for students. America is SO over manufactured controversies.
Prefer to listen? https://audioboom.com/posts/8756078-where-s-all-that-gas-money-going-7-29-25
Local media shares the sad story of a man named Paco who was ‘abducted’ by ICE, but does he even exist? Governor Bob Ferguson’s approval rating is dismal. Baby saved by defunded facility is now 17, just joined the Marines. Nurses upset by pause of gender surgeries for kids should scare the hell out of you.
Prefer to listen? https://audioboom.com/posts/8755605-who-the-hell-is-paco-7-28-25
These remarks were delivered to the Snohomish County Lincoln Day Dinner on May 17, 2024.
The following remarks were delivered to the Whatcom County Lincoln Day Dinner on March 23, 2024, in Ferndale, Washington.
I struggled with what to talk to you about tonight.
Well, that’s not true. I didn't struggle with what to talk to you about – I struggled with whether I was brave enough to say what I wanted to say.
When I'm invited to speak to groups, I don't want to offend anyone or be too controversial. So, I reached out to a few of your fellow party members to ask whether any topics were off limits or wouldn't go over well with the crowd.
I got some good advice.
Then I decided to ignore that good advice entirely.
Too much is at stake to be polite.
As we sit here tonight, we are in the final battle of a war.
A war that has pit sanity against insanity.
Pragmatism against idealism.
A war that has sacrificed the public good, in favor of a twisted idea of progress.
It's a war that began long before I moved here 15 years ago. It started silently and it was mostly waged in the shadows.
Most of us didn't even realize that a war was being fought. We were too caught up in our own lives and our own problems. ...
Governor Bob Ferguson is only a few months into the job, and his staff is already turning on him. State progressives resort to lazy “orange man bad” strategy to win August primary races. City council member arrested for nude protest is now running for mayor. On Florida Report: Governor DeSantis cements Florida’s place as a public-safety state.
It turns out poor ‘Paco’ is actually a wanted murderer from Mexico. Kirkland teacher arrested by ICE to be released on bond. Is the climate grift finally coming to an end? We now know what happened to that Narcan puppy. Another city says it will keep citizens safe … if you agree to more taxes.
Washington state’s gas prices are soaring while other states remain low – and the Climate Commitment Grift is to blame. A follow up on the elusive “Paco.” Two leading experts on homelessness react to President Trump’s order dismantling housing first. Portland lowers academic standards for students. America is SO over manufactured controversies.
This story has it all. Politics. Conservative infighting. Social media trolls. Lawsuits. A fugitive from justice. Charges of sodomy. And a side of karma, served cold.
Let’s start with the basics.
On March 26, a 24-year-old named Tyler James Crowl was arrested at his dad’s house in Lakewood, Washington, for a warrant out of Oregon. The arrest didn’t make the news in Washington, which isn’t a surprise considering the alleged crimes weren’t perpetrated in our state.
Crowl was wanted out of Yamhill County, Oregon, on three counts of Sexual Abuse in the First Degree and three counts of Sodomy in the First Degree. Both crimes are felonies. According to court records from September 2024, prosecutors allege Crowl “unlawfully and knowingly engaged in oral sexual intercourse with a child under 12 years of age” on multiple occasions and “did unlawfully and knowingly subject a child under 14 years of age to sexual contact by touching her vaginal area and/or upper/inner thighs” on multiple occasions.
While Tyler Crowl would have been a teenager himself at the time of the alleged crimes, Oregon state law says minors under 12 years old cannot consent to oral sex. And minors under the age of 14 cannot consent to sexual intercourse.
The details of Tyler Crowl’s alleged crimes are disturbing. But the way he came to be arrested in Lakewood is the stuff movie scripts are made of.
For those who frequent the bowels of political social media in Washington state, the last name Crowl might look familiar. Eric Crowl, known by the X handle @OutragePNW, is a well-known social media troll in conservative circles. His schtick is attacking Republicans who he deems not conservative enough. In full disclosure, I’ve been a favorite target of his for my reporting on former gubernational candidate Semi Bird. Bird, a Republican, was accused of stolen valor, on top of other documented criminal cases from his past. I found the accusations credible and important enough to discuss on my show.
OutragePNW didn’t like that one bit.
His online posts became so unhinged, not to mention defamatory, I informed my local police department that I was worried for my safety. We had officers at our home a couple times to check in.
While I’ve had my share of social media trolls rile their followers up into a rabid mob, Eric Crowl presented a different kind of security concern – one worth taking seriously.
In 2016, Eric Crowl, then 39-years-old, was arrested in Portland with a cache of weapons including a rifle, shotgun, camouflage, police scanner, and hundreds of rounds of ammunition. Police there had been investigating Crowl for months, after they “noticed him videotaping police outside the bureau's east precinct, often showing up during shift changes and leaving after hearing his name over the police scanner he carried,” according to Portland station KGW.
Crowl was arrested and charged with attempted assault of an officer and unlawful use of a weapon.
While out on house arrest, he was accused of violating the conditions of his release by allegedly showing up – with his wife and son in tow – to the home of a federal inspector.
“Crowl and his family were described as ‘aggressively’ staring into the inspector’s open garage and duty vehicle,” according to Portland station KOIN. The federal employee said Crowl was wearing shorts and did not have his court-mandated GPS monitor on.
“The inspector believed the Crowl’s were acting suspiciously and/or conducting surveillance on his home,” according to court documents.
Crowl was rearrested and had his bail set at $1 million. In November 2016, he agreed to a deal with prosecutors and pleaded no contest to a reduced charge of unlawful possession of a firearm in exchange for three years of probation, KOIN reported.
So, what’s the link between Eric Crowl (@OutragePNW) and alleged sodomizer turned fugitive Tyler James Crowl?
Tyler is Eric’s son.
Usually, the misdeeds of family members of social media figures wouldn’t be something I’d jump to report on (regardless of how I felt about that particular person).
But in this case, it was Crowl’s obsession with trolling his perceived political enemies that led to his son’s capture. And that’s a tale too interesting not to tell.
On March 4, Eric Crowl registered a nonprofit with the state of Washington named the Pierce County Republican Party. He immediately started a Facebook page using the name and even held live virtual events on X titled “Pierce County Republican Pary – Media Availability.”
If that sounds weird to you, it is.
There is, of course, already a Pierce County Republican Party. It’s the Pierce County branch of the State GOP and has been active in local politics since at least the 1960’s.
So why would Eric Crowl want to troll his local GOP?
The Pierce County Republican Party and its chairman, Dave McMullan, have been favorite targets of Crowl’s social media attacks. McMullan was an early and unapologetic supporter of Republican Gubernatorial candidate Dave Reichert, earning him the ire of the party’s right flank – and of diehard Semi Bird supporters like Crowl. Furthermore, the county party voted unanimously to ban Crowl from its biennial organizational meeting back in November – in part because of his conduct online.
What better way to make sure you're included than to register an imposter Pierce County Republican Party and put yourself in charge of it?
In response to Crowl’s filing, the legitimate Pierce County Republican Party made a filing of its own – in United States District Court.
On March 23, the PCRP filed a lawsuit against Crowl and his new nonprofit, accusing him of violating the Federal Trademark Act.
The only thing left was to serve Eric Crowl with the papers at his home in Lakewood.
That job fell to Robert Parker, a local Republican who offered to help.
In advance of doing so, Parker told unDivided he thought it would be wise to see who else was living at the home. He knew of Crowl’s criminal history in Oregon and wanted to be prepared for what he might encounter.
A search of public records from the address showed a Tyler James Crowl was registered to vote there. Parker went into amateur detective mode. He put Tyler Crowl’s name into Google. Up popped a January 6, 2025, blog post from a small news outlet in Oregon. It was a list of outstanding warrants.
“Area law enforcement agencies are looking for the following people who have absconded from the law.”
On the list was “Tyler James Crowl, 23, wanted on warrants for first-degree sodomy and sexual abuse.”
Unsure whether Tyler would be at his dad’s house, but armed with the information anyway, Parker went to serve the papers.
Sure enough, Tyler Crowl was the one to come to the door. Parker caught the whole thing on camera.
“Mr. Crowl?”
“That should be my father, but yeah, what’s this regarding?”
“That’s for him,” Parker said, handing over the notice of service in a manilla envelope.
“Ok … what’s it regarding if you don’t mind me asking?”
“It’s legal paperwork for him.”
A woman can be heard in the background saying “Tyler, don’t accept that.”
Parker leaves the documents with Tyler and walks away – only to promptly contact the Lakewood Police Department to inform them of the whereabouts of a fugitive from justice.
Within hours, Tyler Crowl was in custody and being held at the Pierce County Jail, where he is still awaiting extradition to Yamhill County, Oregon.
It is unclear whether the elder Crowl knew his son was a fugitive from justice. unDivided has reached out to prosecutors in Oregon to inquire whether they are investigating whether Eric Crowl knowingly concealed his son’s whereabouts.
A text message and email to Eric Crowl seeking comment went unanswered Tuesday. Crowl protected his X account (@OutragePNW) shortly after unDivided reached out for comment about his son’s arrest, limiting his posts to approved followers.
So, what lessons can be taken from this sordid tale?
For starters, don’t engage in sex acts with a pre-teen. That’s good advice for anyone.
Second, don’t be a social media troll. Also good advice for anyone. But if you simply can’t help but poke the hornet’s nest, at least make sure your own hive is in order first.
