Brandi Kruse
Politics • Culture • News
[un]Divided Newsletter: October 30, 2022
October 30, 2022
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Take a minute to [un]wind with our Sunday morning newsletter. Grab a cup of coffee and catch up on what you may have missed from [un]Divided this week.

Senate race moves to ‘toss up’

Since the moment Republican Tiffany Smiley entered the race for U.S. Senate in Washington state, I’ve opined that her chances of beating 30-year incumbent Patty Murray are slim.

Will I have to eat crow?

This morning, the Smiley camp is celebrating after Real Clear Politics (RCP) switched the race from “Leans D” to “Toss Up.”

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“It’s a great day to be team Smiley,” her communications director, Elisa Carlson, wrote on Twitter.

The change means seven U.S. Senate races are now considered statistical ties. In addition to Washington, those are: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire.

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The shift in Washington reflects Smiley’s slow and steady climb in polling since she entered the race last year. The latest poll, which tipped the scales for RCP, comes from the Trafalgar Group.

While Trafalgar is considered partisan (R), FiveThirtyEight gives it a high rating for accurate polling.

The poll, taken days after Smiley and Murray met in a televised town hall debate, puts the race within the margin of error – with Smiley at 48.2% and Murray at 49.4%.

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The poll surveyed 1,207 likely Washington voters, with 44.2% identifying as Democrats and 33.4% identifying as Republicans.

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In case you are still an undecided voter, take a few minutes to watch my sit-down interview with Tiffany Smiley and Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, who was in the state this week as a campaign surrogate. We discuss issues that matter to swing voters, such as abortion and the economy.

LIVE October Q&A

Speaking of the election, our October subscriber Q&A will be held TONIGHT at 8pm PT. Set a reminder and bring your best questions! I won't tell you who to vote for, but I'm happy to discuss the implications of each race. 

Local races to watch

While discussion focuses on control of Congress, I’ve been asked to share some thoughts on local races as well. We tend to shy away from hyper-local races on the podcast since some listeners don’t live in Washington state.

But if you do, here are just a few legislative races I have my eyes on:

26th District Senate race: This race has become one of the most expensive in the state - with candidates raising a combined $1.4 million. Incumbent Senator Emily Randall (D) is running against Republican challenger Jesse Young, a current state representative. The 26th District serves the Bremerton area and is seen as a race that could help flip control of the state senate to the GOP.

While Randall has tried to tone down her views to appeal to moderate voters, she has struggled to defend her support of controversial police reform laws in Olympia - like the bill limiting police pursuits. Young has said he would seek to repeal that law.

Young has been painted by opponents as an extremist who stood behind State Rep. Matt Shea after he was ousted from his own caucus. An independent investigation accused Shea of engaging in acts of domestic terrorism. 

42nd District Senate race: This is the seat left open by the late Senator Doug Ericksen, who passed last year. 

Simon Sefzik was appointed to fill the vacancy, becoming the youngest state senator in Washington's history (he was born in 1999, let that sink in!)

Running to replace him is Democrat Sharon Shewmake, who already serves in the State House of Representatives. 

The 42nd District serves Whatcom County.

31st District Senate race: Senator Phil Fortunato is the last remaining Republican serving in a King County legislative district - will a former Republican take that distinction away from him?

Chris Vance, the onetime state GOP chair who left the party over his distaste for Donald Trump, is running as an independent to unseat Fortunato. 

The 31st District represents the Auburn area. 

Now, it’s impossible to say whether Republicans in Washington state can retake the state house or senate. There simply isn’t reliable data at the local level. Republicans would need nine seats in the House and four seats in the Senate to gain control.

 

 

Fake Tweeps fool media

Friday on the podcast we discussed Elon Musk’s Twitter takeover and the unhinged reaction to it.

Enter Rahul Ligma and Daniel Johnson (get it, Ligma-Johnson?)

The men stood outside Twitter headquarters this week holding carboard boxes, posing as fired Twitter data engineers. Boy did the media eat it up. 

CNBC Tech Reporter Deirdre Bosa breathlessly reported on the unfortune of the two men, even sharing that one owned a Telsa and now won't be able to make payments! 

"They are visibly shaken," she wrote.

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Despite the internet quickly identifying the duo as hoaxsters, Deirdre has left up her original tweets, following them with a meek quasi-correction and restricting replies to her account. 

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Now, in case you're inclined to give these reporters the benefit of the doubt, allow me to detail the red flags that even a blind person could have spotted. 

First - Ligma held up a copy of Michelle Obama's autobiography, shouting "Michelle Obama wouldn't have happened if Elon Musk owned Twitter!"

Classic. 

But it was Johnson who really gave away the game. During an interview, he said Musk's version of free speech was "Nazis saying that trans women shouldn't use women's locker rooms."

Then, this: 

"I gotta touch base with my husband and my wife, I gotta get out of here," he said. "Thank you."

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Hold the Line

I joined Seattle Police Officers' Guild President Mike Solan on his Hold the Line Podcast this week. I really enjoyed the conversation and if you want to hear my thoughts on just about everything happening in Seattle right now, you can watch here.  

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Housekeeping

One last reminder about tonight’s LIVE Q&A. It will be the last one before Election Day!

Have a greet week and thank you for your commitment to give common sense a comeback!

 

 

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I struggled with what to talk to you about tonight. 

Well, that’s not true. I didn't struggle with what to talk to you about – I struggled with whether I was brave enough to say what I wanted to say. 

When I'm invited to speak to groups, I don't want to offend anyone or be too controversial. So, I reached out to a few of your fellow party members to ask whether any topics were off limits or wouldn't go over well with the crowd. 

I got some good advice. 

Then I decided to ignore that good advice entirely.

Too much is at stake to be polite. 

As we sit here tonight, we are in the final battle of a war. 

A war that has pit sanity against insanity. 

Pragmatism against idealism. 

A war that has sacrificed the public good, in favor of a twisted idea of progress.

It's a war that began long before I moved here 15 years ago. It started silently and it was mostly waged in the shadows.

Most of us didn't even realize that a war was being fought. We were too caught up in our own lives and our own problems. ...

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We fight on – because what other choice is there?
They can try to destroy my reputation. It still won't put them on the right side of history.
 

This week, progressive political strategists launched an effort to undermine my support of citizen initiatives – arguing that my opinions are no longer protected by the First Amendment and should therefore be regulated by the state.

You read that correctly.

In a 24-page complaint to the Washington State Public Disclosure Commission, an obscure organization that styles itself as Washingtonians for Ethical Government called for an immediate investigation into my public support of two voter initiatives that will appear on the ballot in November – one to protect girls' sports, the other to restore parental rights.

Kruse is possibly the most prolific of political content creators in Washington, and her promotions of Let’s Go Washington’s initiatives do not qualify as editorial content. Kruse is not an impartial journalist or just an opinionated member of the public; she is a commercial advertiser with multiple advertisers. Although Kruse was once employed as a reporter by bonafide news outlets, she is no longer commonly considered as a journalist in Washington State and was recently denied press credentials by the Washington State Capitol Correspondents Association, a decision that was upheld by both state and federal courts.

Their argument goes something like this:

  • I host a podcast.

  • My podcast sells spots to advertisers.

  • I endorse products for said advertisers.

  • Therefore, my endorsements have value.

  • Therefore, my political endorsements have value.

  • Therefore, any political endorsements I make must be reported to the Public Disclosure Commission as “in-kind” donations.

There are several factual inaccuracies with the complaint, like the assertion that state and federal courts have determined I’m not a journalist. That is false. While a federal judge declined an emergency motion to have my press pass reinstated in the final days of the 2026 legislative session, our case is ongoing and only in the early stages. I am confident we will prevail.

There are also several legal issues with the complaint, not the least of which is a pesky little thing called the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

But don’t be fooled – the goal of the complaint isn’t for it to stick. The goal is to harm my reputation in the court of public opinion.

Still, for the sake of posterity, it’s worth noting a few things:

The government cannot assign a numerical value to my political speech. Such an act would be extraordinary and without precedent in the history of the United States.

I have never received anything of monetary value to support or oppose any political candidate, initiative, or issue. Quite the contrary. I have given untold hours, made personal donations, and driven tens of thousands of miles around the state to lend my voice to issues and people I believe in.

I have the right to charge advertisers for endorsements, or to provide endorsements free of charge if I wish. And I have. In the years following the pandemic, I featured local small businesses on my show free of charge – and gave them attention on social media, urging followers to support businesses that were struggling to recover from government-imposed lockdowns. I also did this in 2020 while still employed as a news reporter at FOX 13 in Seattle, running a weekly segment on my political show called “Small Business Sunday.”

Providing paid endorsements of products is a common practice in broadcasting and has been for decades. Many of our current advertisers were once endorsed on the radio by the late Dori Monson. Several local radio hosts who endorse products on air have also made public statements about their support of current voter initiatives. Ari Hoffman of KVI and John Curley of KIRO Radio not only endorse products but have stood alongside me in support of girls and parents.

If the Public Disclosure Commission were to rule that my speech must be regulated, it would also have to start regulating the speech of dozens of mainstream radio hosts – and perhaps even the Editorial Board of the Seattle Times.

Beyond that, this issue is settled law in Washington.

The Washington State Supreme Court ruled in 2007 that endorsements from talk show hosts do not constitute in-kind contributions.

At the time, radio hosts John Carlson and Kirby Wilbur were organizing and promoting Initiative 912, aimed at stopping an incremental increase in the gas tax.

'The mere fact that a broadcast has value to a campaign, or includes solicitation of funds, votes, or other support, does not convert commentary into advertising when it occurs during the content portion of a broadcast for which payment is not normally required,' Justice Barbara Madsen wrote for the court.

But again, the point of the complaint is not to upend existing law or get the government to throw the First Amendment to the wind.

The progressive political strategists behind the stunt, Powerhouse Strategic, is the firm used by opponents of the Let’s Go Washington initiatives.

Few news outlets that covered Tuesday’s press release saw fit to mention this connection. Why? It’s not as if it’s a secret. Kristin Hyde, a communications specialist with Powerhouse Strategic, sent the release out with her name and contact information on it.

Powerhouse not only brought previous PDC complaints against Let’s Go Washington, but it also represents the Washington State Democratic Party, as well as two of the largest unions bankrolling the anti-initiative campaigns: SEIU and the Washington Education Association.

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Still, The Seattle Times characterized Washingtonians for Ethical Government (WFEG) only as a “campaign finance watchdog.”

Even if it were a legitimate watchdog group and not a cover for deeply partisan operatives, in the past 10 years it’s only ever questioned the “ethics” of conservatives.

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In case there was any doubt, I fully intend to continue my work fighting for what I truly believe is the women’s rights issue of our generation: the erasure of girls at the hands of ideologues.

After all, I was fighting this issue long before Let’s Go Washington decided to run initiatives to change state law. In fact, it was through episodes of unDivided that LGW met two of the teen athletes – Ahnaleigh Wilson and Frances Staudt – who would go on to become important voices in the campaign to protect female athletes. I like to think our coverage of the issue is a big reason why voters will get a say in November. I am very proud of that.

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Me with Frances Staudt (left) and Ahnaleigh Wilson (right) at a signature gathering event in Issaquah, Washington.

I will also keep fighting for parental rights, as I was before LGW started collecting signatures for a parental bill of rights. My advocacy on this issue goes back to 2023, when I helped a rag-tag group of citizens collect signatures to try to run a referendum on Senate Bill 5599. The law allows children to be hidden from parents if they don’t think their family approves of their gender identity. I was protested, threatened, and called a transphobe. All the usual stuff. The referendum fell short, but my motivation to help parents keep their families together only grew.

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Protesters greet us outside a coffee shop in Lacey, Washington, where we were collecting signatures to repeal SB 5599.

As I said on my show this week: They can try to bankrupt my business. They can try to destroy my reputation. They can even try to kill me. None of it puts them on the right side of history.

So, we fight on. What other choice is there?

 

 

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